9
Tokyo Dreamer
5yo Filly · 8-2
Compiegne · Prix De Blerancourt Handicap · 1m 1f 207y
#3
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
3%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▲ BEATS ITS MARKoutruns its handicap mark
Move▬
Strength20%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Crucially, it keeps finishing ahead of what its handicap mark implies — it looks ahead of the handicapper.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today: 3
Class gap: -0.2
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-07 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Compiegne | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 4 | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 10100% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength77%
Delivery trend +0.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 10.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 17/04/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 03/05/2026 | 2nd | 11/1 | 42% | 93% | +0.51 |
| 15/05/2026 | 9th | 4/1 | 79% | 43% | -0.36 |
| 25/05/2026 | 5th | 11/4 | 86% | 71% | -0.14 |
| 13/06/2026 | 14th | 9/1 | 53% | 13% | -0.39 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 15/2 | 61% | 79% | +0.18 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 78% | +0.30 |
| 16/08/2026 | 3rd | 11/1 | 42% | 87% | +0.45 |
| 07/09/2026 | 6th | 5/1 | 74% | 62% | -0.12 |