4
Bahi
3yo Colt · 8-13
Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#11
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Chantilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-03-24 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-11-22 | Fontainebleau | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 129% of fieldRange 5-9 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength44%
Delivery trend +1.1% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/4 | 91% | 71% | -0.19 |
| 24/03/2026 | 4th | 2/1 | 89% | 77% | -0.13 |
| 19/06/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 83% | -0.12 |
| 11/07/2026 | 5th | 8/11 | 96% | 56% | -0.41 |
| 10/08/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 57% | -0.22 |
| 31/08/2026 | 7th | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |