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6

Derbycat

3yo Filly · 8-12

Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#9

Rank

Odds

9/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C2.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBack2 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 7th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Sft 12229/0422 @ Nantes 29/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12229/052C0 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 1m3f204y Hvy 12221/07C?3 @ Deauville 25/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 1m7f199y GS 12125/083projClass-projected finish: 6th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-25Deauville34th4th0
2026-07-21Vichy?2nd2nd0
2026-05-29Nantes23rd3rd0
2026-04-29Lyon-Parilly27th7th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/0429/0521/0725/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1264% of fieldRange 1-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength82%

Delivery trend +2.6% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/04/20267th28/10%33%+0.33
29/05/20263rd15/261%50%-0.11
21/07/20262nd10/147%93%+0.45
25/08/20264th17/255%79%+0.23