12
Goldenpalm
3yo Gelding · 8-6
Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
7%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength17%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 5.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-24 | Vittel | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-04-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-02-18 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-01-26 | Cagnes-sur-Mer | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-01-04 | Marseille | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1245% of fieldRange 6-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength12%
Delivery trend -1.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/08/2025 | 10th | 22/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 07/12/2025 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 04/01/2026 | 2nd | 22/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 26/01/2026 | 5th | 8/1 | 58% | 69% | +0.11 |
| 18/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/1 | 53% | 78% | +0.25 |
| 13/04/2026 | 2nd | 8/1 | 58% | 92% | +0.34 |
| 05/06/2026 | 7th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 24/08/2026 | 1st | 4/1 | 79% | 100% | +0.21 |