11

High Note

3yo Gelding · 8-7

Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#4

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 3.5)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Nantes 29/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 12329/05C53 @ Vittel 06/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m2f96y Gd 1286/073projClass-projected finish: 5th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Vittel36th6th0
2026-05-29Nantes?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/056/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1282% of fieldRange 7-7 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength42%

Delivery trend +13.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/05/20261st11/486%100%+0.14
06/07/20266th14/126%55%+0.28