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5

Magda

3yo Colt · 8-12

Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#7

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.5 /10 (raw 3.8)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Marseille-borely 04/09/2025 · Pos 1st of 9 · OR - · 1m99y Hvy 1284/09C5C5 @ Le Mans 06/10/2025 · Pos 4th of 6 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 125C5 @ Pau 04/12/2025 · Pos 4th of 7 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1254/12C52 @ Pau 13/01/2026 · Pos 3rd of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 1252 @ Pau 20/02/2026 · Pos 4th of 5 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 12520/022C5 @ La Teste De Buch 01/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 125C5 @ ParisLongchamp 07/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m1f207y Hvy 1237/05C51 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 4 · OR - · 1m3f204y GS 1253 @ Dieppe 09/09/2026 · Pos 7th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1329/093projClass-projected finish: 12th of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-09Dieppe37th7th0
2026-06-21Lyon-Parilly14th4th0
2026-05-07ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2026-04-01La Teste De Buch?8th8th0
2026-02-20Pau24th4th0
2026-01-13Pau23rd3rd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today4/0913/017/059/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1236% of fieldRange 3-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength49%

Delivery trend +7.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 12. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
04/09/20251st2/999%100%+0.01
06/10/20254th9/488%40%-0.48
04/12/20254th7/491%50%-0.41
13/01/20263rd5/174%50%-0.24
20/02/20264th15/261%25%-0.36
01/04/20268th20/10%22%+0.22
07/05/20261st11/1094%100%+0.06
21/06/20264th25/10%0%0.00
09/09/20267th66/10%40%+0.40