2
Mooney Vision
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#2
Rank
Odds
6/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength9%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-04 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-28 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-25 | Pornichet | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-24 | Lyon La Soie | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 12100% of fieldRange 2-7 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▬
Strength66%
Delivery trend +1.5% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 1st of 12.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 9th | 6/1 | 68% | 43% | -0.26 |
| 24/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/4 | 93% | 92% | -0.02 |
| 25/03/2026 | 1st | 8/11 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 67% | -0.02 |
| 28/05/2026 | 4th | 3/1 | 84% | 50% | -0.34 |
| 02/07/2026 | 3rd | 11/4 | 86% | 83% | -0.02 |
| 04/08/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 78% | +0.01 |