10

Trezy Creme

3yo Filly · 8-10

Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y

#6

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

2%

Rank

#6

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 3.0 /10 (raw 3.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Dieppe 30/07/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12430/07C5C5 @ Saint-Malo 18/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12418/08C5C5 @ Le Lion D'angers 04/09/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 1m6f200y Sft 1244/09C5projClass-projected finish: 1st of 12
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Le Lion D'angers?1st1st0
2026-08-18Saint-Malo?3rd3rd0
2026-07-30Dieppe?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/0718/084/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1227% of fieldRange 8-12 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength7%

Delivery trend -14.1% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 12. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/07/20265th12/137%71%+0.35
18/08/20263rd4/179%80%+0.01
04/09/20261st6/594%100%+0.06