7
Zarababy
3yo Filly · 8-10
Compiegne · Prix De Fresnoy-la-riviere Handicap · 1m 3f 204y
#1
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
97%
Place Prob
73%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength10%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.2 /10 (raw 4.1)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-31 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-21 | Vichy | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-18 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | 3 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-09 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1291% of fieldRange 3-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength39%
Delivery trend -6.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 12. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 8th | 100/1 | 0% | 30% | +0.30 |
| 24/04/2026 | 6th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 09/05/2026 | 5th | 50/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 25/05/2026 | 3rd | 8/1 | 58% | 71% | +0.14 |
| 18/06/2026 | 3rd | 66/1 | 0% | 85% | +0.85 |
| 21/07/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 86% | +0.09 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 70% | -0.20 |
| 31/08/2026 | 1st | 3/1 | 84% | 100% | +0.16 |