IvyArcIvyArc
8

Assyrie

3yo Filly · 9-5

Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y

#9

Rank

Odds

8/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#9

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 6.1)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 26/11/2025 · Pos 11th of 16 · OR - · 7f100y Std 12826/11C5C5 @ Chantilly 26/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12826/03C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 17/04/2026 · Pos 11th of 17 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12817/04C5C8 @ Chantilly 12/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12812/05C8C5 @ Compiegne 13/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12813/06C5C5 @ Dieppe 13/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12813/07C5C5 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1287/08C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-07Clairefontaine?3rd3rd0
2026-07-13Dieppe?6th6th0
2026-06-13Compiegne?4th4th0
2026-05-12Chantilly?6th6th0
2026-04-17Saint-Cloud?11th11th0
2026-03-26Chantilly?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today26/1112/057/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1375% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +10.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
26/11/202511th9/276%33%-0.43
26/03/20262nd8/158%92%+0.34
17/04/202611th10/382%38%-0.45
12/05/20266th7/163%58%-0.05
13/06/20264th12/137%73%+0.36
13/07/20266th18/15%58%+0.53
07/08/20263rd8/158%75%+0.17