11
Aversa
6yo Mare · 9-2
Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y
#10
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-16 | Deauville | 3 | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-12 | Chantilly | 3 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-09-24 | Compiegne | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2025-09-01 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1350% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength92%
Delivery trend +1.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/06/2025 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 21/07/2025 | 11th | 14/1 | 26% | 29% | +0.02 |
| 03/08/2025 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 47% | +0.10 |
| 01/09/2025 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 80% | +0.75 |
| 24/09/2025 | 11th | 9/2 | 76% | 23% | -0.53 |
| 12/02/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 22% | -0.15 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |
| 16/08/2026 | 12th | 9/1 | 53% | 0% | -0.53 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 16/1 | 16% | 93% | +0.77 |