7

Filigrane

3yo Filly · 9-5

Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y

#1

Rank

Odds

6/1

Win Prob

81%

Place Prob

59%

Rank

#1

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength4%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.4)

Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C1.7
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 9th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1246/03C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 26/04/2026 · Pos 1st of 14 · OR - · 6f211y GS 125C0 @ Saint-Cloud 05/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1245/05C?C0 @ Compiegne 25/05/2026 · Pos 1st of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1311 @ Deauville 04/07/2026 · Pos 14th of 14 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1234/0712 @ Vichy 21/07/2026 · Pos 3rd of 7 · OR - · 6f211y Hvy 1222 @ Le Lion D'angers 02/08/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 1222/0822 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f211y Ver 122C0 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 12811/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?3rd3rd0
2026-08-21Clairefontaine28th8th0
2026-08-02Le Lion D'angers27th7th0
2026-07-21Vichy23rd3rd0
2026-07-04Deauville114th14th0
2026-05-25Compiegne?1st1st0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0325/052/0811/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 13100% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength100%

Delivery trend +0.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 1st of 13.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20269th80/10%0%0.00
26/04/20261st20/10%100%+1.00
05/05/20264th20/10%77%+0.77
25/05/20261st7/282%100%+0.18
04/07/202614th66/10%0%0.00
21/07/20263rd28/10%67%+0.67
02/08/20267th18/15%14%+0.09
21/08/20268th40/10%36%+0.36
11/09/20263rd18/15%86%+0.80