1
Insidia
3yo Filly · 9-13
Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y
#11
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 5.6)
Highest class: 1
Recent avg: C2.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-04 | Chantilly | 1 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-04-16 | ParisLongchamp | 2 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-19 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2025-11-08 | Chantilly | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 138% of fieldRange 6-13 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength18%
Delivery trend +0.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 13.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 25/08/2025 | 5th | 9/1 | 53% | 60% | +0.07 |
| 15/09/2025 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 63% | +0.20 |
| 08/11/2025 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 83% | +0.20 |
| 19/12/2025 | 1st | 5/1 | 74% | 100% | +0.26 |
| 02/04/2026 | 8th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 16/04/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/05/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 30/08/2026 | 12th | 40/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |