13
Kelly Key
6yo Mare · 8-5
Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y
#6
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.2
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 14th | 14th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | 4 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | Senonnes-Pouance | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-12 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-29 | Saint-Cloud | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1333% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -10.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 9th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/04/2026 | 8th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 03/05/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 73% | +0.73 |
| 14/05/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 70% | +0.44 |
| 29/05/2026 | 4th | 13/2 | 66% | 73% | +0.07 |
| 12/06/2026 | 4th | 9/2 | 76% | 75% | -0.01 |
| 02/07/2026 | 6th | 5/2 | 87% | 38% | -0.49 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 5/1 | 74% | 54% | -0.20 |
| 26/07/2026 | 8th | 5/1 | 74% | 42% | -0.32 |
| 10/09/2026 | 14th | 25/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |