4
Kimbia
4yo Filly · 9-7
Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y
#3
Rank
Odds
14/1
Win Prob
4%
Place Prob
14%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 5.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.3
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-09 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | 3 | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-14 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-22 | Chantilly | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-02 | Chantilly | 3 | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-02-27 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1383% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength66%
Delivery trend +5.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 13. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 11/09/2025 | 7th | 2/1 | 89% | 54% | -0.36 |
| 09/10/2025 | 9th | 40/1 | 0% | 43% | +0.43 |
| 24/01/2026 | 6th | 9/2 | 76% | 17% | -0.60 |
| 27/02/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 57% | +0.31 |
| 02/04/2026 | 6th | 18/1 | 5% | 62% | +0.56 |
| 22/04/2026 | 13th | 12/1 | 37% | 14% | -0.23 |
| 14/05/2026 | 5th | 11/1 | 42% | 60% | +0.18 |
| 05/06/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 09/07/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 25% | +0.25 |