2

Oshia

3yo Filly · 9-9

Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y

#4

Rank

Odds

7/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#4

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 3.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Chantilly 30/03/2026 · Pos 2nd of 9 · OR - · 6f211y Std 12730/03C5C5 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 4th of 12 · OR - · 5f212y GS 127C0 @ Chantilly 04/05/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 5f212y GS 1304/05C?C0 @ Dieppe 06/06/2026 · Pos 4th of 13 · OR - · 5f102y Sft 130C0 @ La Teste De Buch 26/06/2026 · Pos 3rd of 8 · OR - · 5f102y Gd 13426/06C?C5 @ ParisLongchamp 09/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 6f211y Gd 127C0 @ Mont De Marsan 26/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 6 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13026/07C?C0 @ Deauville 15/08/2026 · Pos 10th of 15 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 123C0 @ Saint-Cloud 11/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 6f211y GS 13211/09C?projClass-projected finish: 3rd of 13
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Saint-Cloud?4th4th0
2026-08-15Deauville?10th10th0
2026-07-26Mont De Marsan?2nd2nd0
2026-07-09ParisLongchamp?1st1st0
2026-06-26La Teste De Buch?3rd3rd0
2026-06-06Dieppe?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today30/036/0626/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1392% of fieldRange 1-6 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength86%

Delivery trend +3.9% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 13. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
30/03/20262nd4/596%88%-0.08
20/04/20264th11/486%73%-0.13
04/05/20262nd13/266%93%+0.28
06/06/20264th3/184%75%-0.09
26/06/20263rd2/189%71%-0.18
09/07/20261st5/287%100%+0.13
26/07/20262nd15/890%80%-0.10
15/08/202610th10/147%36%-0.12
11/09/20264th16/116%79%+0.63