10
Sena Iulia
3yo Filly · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix Du Vermandois Handicap · 6f 211y
#13
Rank
Odds
60/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.2 /10 (raw 7.9)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Vittel | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-05-21 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-04-04 | Nancy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 130% of fieldRange 13-13 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -12.8% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 13th of 13. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 26/11/2025 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 80% | +0.80 |
| 23/03/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 73% | +0.46 |
| 04/04/2026 | 2nd | 11/2 | 71% | 91% | +0.20 |
| 21/05/2026 | 13th | 11/1 | 42% | 14% | -0.28 |
| 04/06/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 11% | -0.26 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 7/2 | 82% | 25% | -0.57 |
| 16/07/2026 | 15th | 11/1 | 42% | 0% | -0.42 |
| 11/09/2026 | 12th | 50/1 | 0% | 21% | +0.21 |