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16

Agnesi

3yo Filly · 8-11

Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y

#5

Rank

Odds

13/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#5

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength7%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 5.6)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Strasbourg 05/10/2025 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 1205/10C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 08/11/2025 · Pos 2nd of 7 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1248/11C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 05/12/2025 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Std 1245/12C5C5 @ Lyon La Soie 14/02/2026 · Pos 11th of 15 · OR - · 1m208y Std 12414/02C5C0 @ Salon-De-Provence 16/04/2026 · Pos 10th of 14 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12416/04C?C5 @ Evreux 26/05/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m208y GS 12426/05C5C5 @ Chantilly 04/09/2026 · Pos 2nd of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 1204/09C5projClass-projected finish: 4th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-04Chantilly?2nd2nd0
2026-05-26Evreux?3rd3rd0
2026-04-16Salon-De-Provence?10th10th0
2026-02-14Lyon La Soie?11th11th0
2025-12-05Lyon La Soie?1st1st0
2025-11-08Lyon La Soie?2nd2nd0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today5/1014/024/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-10 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength81%

Delivery trend +11.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
05/10/202510th7/163%25%-0.38
08/11/20252nd6/168%83%+0.15
05/12/20251st15/890%100%+0.10
14/02/202611th6/168%29%-0.40
16/04/202610th16/116%31%+0.15
26/05/20263rd7/282%83%+0.02
04/09/20262nd16/116%89%+0.73