15

Devil'story

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y

#12

Rank

Odds

11/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength10%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 28/11/2025 · Pos 3rd of 14 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12828/11C5C5 @ Chantilly 20/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 6f101y Std 128C0 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 11th of 14 · OR - · 5f212y Sft 1306/03C?C5 @ Senonnes-Pouance 08/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 9 · OR - · 6f156y GS 128C5 @ Argentan 10/06/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 6f101y Gd 12810/06C5C0 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 131C0 @ Chantilly 19/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 13119/07C?C0 @ Deauville 13/08/2026 · Pos 3rd of 15 · OR - · 1m1f97y Sft 117C0 @ Le Mans 11/09/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 13111/09C?projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-11Le Mans?6th6th0
2026-08-13Deauville?3rd3rd0
2026-07-19Chantilly?2nd2nd0
2026-07-03Clairefontaine?2nd2nd0
2026-06-10Argentan?6th6th0
2026-04-08Senonnes-Pouance?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today28/118/0419/0711/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength48%

Delivery trend +0.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
28/11/20253rd11/142%85%+0.43
20/02/20265th11/271%60%-0.11
06/03/202611th7/163%23%-0.40
08/04/20266th9/153%38%-0.15
10/06/20266th9/153%44%-0.08
03/07/20262nd14/126%93%+0.67
19/07/20262nd7/491%92%+0.02
13/08/20263rd11/142%86%+0.44
11/09/20266th15/890%55%-0.36