14
Diva Chiquita
3yo Filly · 8-11
Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y
#6
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.2 /10 (raw 5.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-03 | Clairefontaine | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-07 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1680% of fieldRange 1-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength66%
Delivery trend -2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/03/2026 | 5th | 66/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 08/04/2026 | 11th | 18/1 | 5% | 23% | +0.18 |
| 25/04/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 87% | +0.60 |
| 07/05/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 91% | +0.08 |
| 20/05/2026 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 15/06/2026 | 11th | 17/2 | 55% | 29% | -0.27 |
| 03/07/2026 | 1st | 20/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 3rd | 14/1 | 26% | 83% | +0.57 |
| 27/08/2026 | 7th | 11/2 | 71% | 54% | -0.17 |