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13

Fillette Du Houley

3yo Filly · 8-12

Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y

#13

Rank

Odds

5/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#13

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.8 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Pornichet 27/02/2026 · Pos 6th of 15 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12027/02C5C5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12820/03C5C0 @ Deauville 23/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 13223/08C?C0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 4th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13213/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp?4th4th0
2026-08-23Deauville?4th4th0
2026-03-20Le Mans?5th5th0
2026-02-27Pornichet?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today27/0220/0323/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 2-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%

Delivery trend -15.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
27/02/20266th18/15%64%+0.59
20/03/20265th11/142%64%+0.22
23/08/20264th11/271%67%-0.04
13/09/20264th7/163%80%+0.17