3
Lucky Wood
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y
#16
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.4 /10 (raw 9.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-06-04 | ParisLongchamp | 3 | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 11th | 11th | 0 |
| 2026-03-27 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-03-03 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 167% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength6%
Delivery trend -2.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/03/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 27/03/2026 | 5th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 17/04/2026 | 11th | 80/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/06/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 11/09/2026 | 13th | 66/1 | 0% | 14% | +0.14 |