6

Marasi Drive

3yo Gelding · 9-4

Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y

#8

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#8

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength3%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.7 /10 (raw 5.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Fontainebleau 06/03/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1286/03C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 12/04/2026 · Pos 5th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 123C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 29/04/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12829/04C?C0 @ Strasbourg 27/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 7f155y GS 139C0 @ Lyon-Parilly 21/06/2026 · Pos 5th of 9 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12821/06C?C0 @ Compiegne 16/07/2026 · Pos 7th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y GS 127C0 @ Clairefontaine 01/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 1251/08C?3 @ Clairefontaine 21/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 10 · OR - · 7f209y Ver 123C5 @ Compiegne 15/09/2026 · Pos 5th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 13015/09C5projClass-projected finish: 7th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-15Compiegne?5th5th0
2026-08-21Clairefontaine31st1st0
2026-08-01Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-07-16Compiegne?7th7th0
2026-06-21Lyon-Parilly?5th5th0
2026-05-27Strasbourg?4th4th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today6/0327/051/0815/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 5-13 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength49%

Delivery trend +4.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
06/03/20268th12/137%13%-0.24
12/04/20265th10/147%71%+0.24
29/04/20263rd9/276%83%+0.07
27/05/20264th9/488%67%-0.21
21/06/20265th4/179%50%-0.29
16/07/20267th8/158%57%-0.01
01/08/20266th14/126%58%+0.32
21/08/20261st5/174%100%+0.26
15/09/20265th12/137%64%+0.27