8
Mauricia
3yo Filly · 9-3
Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength3%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.7 /10 (raw 7.0)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.8
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-07-28 | Compiegne | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Chantilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-25 | Compiegne | ? | 15th | 15th | 0 |
| 2026-04-25 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 4-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength36%
Delivery trend +1.3% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/03/2026 | 7th | 40/1 | 0% | 33% | +0.33 |
| 16/04/2026 | 9th | 100/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 25/04/2026 | 8th | 80/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 25/05/2026 | 15th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 66/1 | 0% | 77% | +0.77 |
| 28/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 70% | +0.70 |
| 23/08/2026 | 1st | 8/1 | 58% | 100% | +0.42 |
| 11/09/2026 | 8th | 8/1 | 58% | 50% | -0.08 |