1

Red Scotch

3yo Gelding · 9-6

Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC0 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 01/02/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m2f151y Sft 1251/02C?C0 @ Chantilly 20/02/2026 · Pos 3rd of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 121C5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 9 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12820/03C5C0 @ Fontainebleau 20/04/2026 · Pos 12th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y GS 132C0 @ Strasbourg 08/05/2026 · Pos 4th of 11 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 1278/05C?C0 @ Saint-Cloud 02/06/2026 · Pos 1st of 16 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 135C0 @ ParisLongchamp 02/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 1172/07C?C0 @ Vichy 24/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 7f209y GS 128C0 @ Deauville 30/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 7f209y Hvy 13030/08C?projClass-projected finish: 8th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-30Deauville?5th5th0
2026-07-24Vichy?6th6th0
2026-07-02ParisLongchamp?4th4th0
2026-06-02Saint-Cloud?1st1st0
2026-05-08Strasbourg?4th4th0
2026-04-20Fontainebleau?12th12th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today1/0220/042/0730/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength71%

Delivery trend +3.4% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
01/02/20265th4/179%60%-0.19
20/02/20263rd9/276%83%+0.07
20/03/20263rd13/266%75%+0.09
20/04/202612th13/266%0%-0.66
08/05/20264th12/137%70%+0.33
02/06/20261st11/142%100%+0.58
02/07/20264th33/10%79%+0.79
24/07/20266th11/486%58%-0.27
30/08/20265th6/168%60%-0.08