1

Red Scotch
3yo Gelding · 9-6
Compiegne · Prix De Vignemont Handicap · 7f 209y
#10
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#10
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.3 /10 (raw 4.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-02 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Strasbourg | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Fontainebleau | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength71%
Delivery trend +3.4% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 01/02/2026 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 60% | -0.19 |
| 20/02/2026 | 3rd | 9/2 | 76% | 83% | +0.07 |
| 20/03/2026 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 75% | +0.09 |
| 20/04/2026 | 12th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 12/1 | 37% | 70% | +0.33 |
| 02/06/2026 | 1st | 11/1 | 42% | 100% | +0.58 |
| 02/07/2026 | 4th | 33/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 24/07/2026 | 6th | 11/4 | 86% | 58% | -0.27 |
| 30/08/2026 | 5th | 6/1 | 68% | 60% | -0.08 |