11

Aljadara

3yo Filly · 9-4

Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

15/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.0 /10 (raw 4.0)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Clairefontaine 03/07/2026 · Pos 6th of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Gd 1243/07C5C5 @ Saint-Malo 22/07/2026 · Pos 2nd of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12422/07C5projClass-projected finish: 2nd of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-22Saint-Malo?2nd2nd0
2026-07-03Clairefontaine?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today3/0722/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1627% of fieldRange 10-10 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength38%

Delivery trend +4.8% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
03/07/20266th10/147%55%+0.07
22/07/20262nd4/179%91%+0.12