13
Espartinas
3yo Filly · 9-3
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#13
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#13
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.7 /10 (raw 3.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-01 | Deauville | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-05-08 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish14th of 1613% of fieldRange 9-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength20%
Delivery trend -17.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 14th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 08/05/2026 | 4th | 28/1 | 0% | 79% | +0.79 |
| 30/05/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 01/09/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 80% | +0.43 |