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5

Liverpool

3yo Gelding · 9-5

Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y

#2

Rank

Odds

20/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

4%

Rank

#2

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Strasbourg 14/09/2025 · Pos 9th of 10 · OR - · 6f211y Sft 12314/09C5C5 @ Strasbourg 05/10/2025 · Pos 11th of 13 · OR - · 7f155y Sft 1285/10C5C5 @ Lyon-Parilly 22/06/2026 · Pos 7th of 7 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12822/06C5C0 @ Vittel 27/07/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 13027/07C?C0 @ Vittel 24/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 8 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13624/08C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-24Vittel?1st1st0
2026-07-27Vittel?1st1st0
2026-06-22Lyon-Parilly?7th7th0
2025-10-05Strasbourg?11th11th0
2025-09-14Strasbourg?9th9th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today14/095/1022/0627/0724/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 1693% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength51%

Delivery trend +8.2% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 16. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
14/09/20259th25/10%11%+0.11
05/10/202511th66/10%17%+0.17
22/06/20267th50/10%0%0.00
27/07/20261st16/116%100%+0.84
24/08/20261st7/282%100%+0.18