3
Niederbronn
3yo Colt · 9-6
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#15
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.4 /10 (raw 6.4)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-08-08 | Deauville | 2 | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-10-04 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2025-08-31 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1633% of fieldRange 1-11 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength84%
Delivery trend -5.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 11th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 31/08/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 63% | +0.63 |
| 04/10/2025 | 13th | 100/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 22/07/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 71% | +0.35 |
| 08/08/2026 | 3rd | 25/1 | 0% | 86% | +0.86 |
| 30/08/2026 | 7th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |