7
Roman Lady
3yo Filly · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
50/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
2%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.3 /10 (raw 4.6)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-05 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-23 | Dax | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-26 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Toulouse | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-17 | Tarbes | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2025-12-28 | Pau | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish8th of 1653% of fieldRange 6-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength31%
Delivery trend +7.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 8th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 30/08/2025 | 1st | 11/10 | 94% | 100% | +0.06 |
| 21/10/2025 | 6th | 13/8 | 91% | 17% | -0.75 |
| 28/11/2025 | 4th | 6/1 | 68% | 50% | -0.18 |
| 28/12/2025 | 8th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 17/04/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 0% | -0.26 |
| 08/06/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 17% | -0.10 |
| 26/06/2026 | 7th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 23/08/2026 | 4th | 11/1 | 42% | 70% | +0.28 |
| 05/09/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |