10

Silver Reel

3yo Colt · 9-4

Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y

#12

Rank

Odds

60/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.0 /10 (raw 6.0)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Compiegne 10/10/2025 · Pos 5th of 11 · OR - · 1m208y Ver 12310/10C5C5 @ Saint-Cloud 14/11/2025 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m1f207y Sft 12814/11C5C5 @ Chantilly 19/12/2025 · Pos 2nd of 15 · OR - · 7f209y Std 12819/12C53 @ Vichy 14/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 7 · OR - · 1m1f43y Sft 12314/083C0 @ ParisLongchamp 03/09/2026 · Pos 14th of 16 · OR - · 1m1f207y Ver 1233/09C?projClass-projected finish: 13th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-03ParisLongchamp?14th14th0
2026-08-14Vichy31st1st0
2025-12-19Chantilly?2nd2nd0
2025-11-14Saint-Cloud?8th8th0
2025-10-10Compiegne?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today10/1014/1119/1214/083/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1620% of fieldRange 1-16 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength34%

Delivery trend -2.7% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
10/10/20255th18/15%60%+0.55
14/11/20258th16/116%13%-0.03
19/12/20252nd20/10%93%+0.93
14/08/20261st10/147%100%+0.53
03/09/202614th22/10%13%+0.13