16
Square D'anvers
3yo Gelding · 9-2
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#11
Rank
Odds
10/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#11
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.5 /10 (raw 8.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-04-26 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-03-30 | Chantilly | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1660% of fieldRange 1-4 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.7% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 16. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/09/2025 | 12th | 66/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 30/09/2025 | 9th | 50/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 80/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 05/03/2026 | 1st | 12/1 | 37% | 100% | +0.63 |
| 30/03/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/04/2026 | 13th | 28/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 30/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 11/09/2026 | 6th | 25/1 | 0% | 64% | +0.64 |