6

Stela Trezy

3yo Filly · 9-5

Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

12/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)

Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lignieres 29/11/2025 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12029/11C5C5 @ Pornichet 14/12/2025 · Pos 3rd of 12 · OR - · 1m99y Std 12814/12C5C5 @ Deauville 29/01/2026 · Pos 8th of 12 · OR - · 6f101y Std 12829/01C5C0 @ Saint-Malo 01/08/2026 · Pos 1st of 12 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 1361/08C?3 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 12227/083projClass-projected finish: 6th of 16
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-08-27Deauville34th4th0
2026-08-01Saint-Malo?1st1st0
2026-01-29Deauville?8th8th0
2025-12-14Pornichet?3rd3rd0
2025-11-29Lignieres?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today29/1114/1229/011/0827/08
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength74%

Delivery trend -3.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
29/11/20256th22/10%62%+0.62
14/12/20253rd20/10%82%+0.82
29/01/20268th10/147%36%-0.11
01/08/20261st7/163%100%+0.37
27/08/20264th22/10%67%+0.67