6

Stela Trezy
3yo Filly · 9-5
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
12/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 4.4 /10 (raw 4.4)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C4.1
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | 3 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Saint-Malo | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-01-29 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2025-12-14 | Pornichet | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2025-11-29 | Lignieres | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1673% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength74%
Delivery trend -3.5% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 29/11/2025 | 6th | 22/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 14/12/2025 | 3rd | 20/1 | 0% | 82% | +0.82 |
| 29/01/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 36% | -0.11 |
| 01/08/2026 | 1st | 7/1 | 63% | 100% | +0.37 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 22/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |