9
Teuch Win
3yo Gelding · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
7/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength5%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 3.3 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C0.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-30 | Deauville | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-06 | Vichy | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-11 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-06-08 | Angers | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-05-15 | La Teste De Buch | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-04-20 | Le Lion D'angers | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish3rd of 1687% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength68%
Delivery trend -0.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 3rd of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 16/11/2025 | 3rd | 10/1 | 47% | 75% | +0.28 |
| 25/03/2026 | 8th | 10/1 | 47% | 42% | -0.06 |
| 20/04/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 78% | +0.17 |
| 15/05/2026 | 6th | 7/2 | 82% | 55% | -0.27 |
| 08/06/2026 | 1st | 10/1 | 47% | 100% | +0.53 |
| 11/07/2026 | 6th | 6/1 | 68% | 38% | -0.31 |
| 06/08/2026 | 2nd | 13/2 | 66% | 86% | +0.20 |
| 30/08/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 90% | +0.11 |