1
The Tinker
3yo Colt · 9-6
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.2 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-01 | Clairefontaine | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-09 | Compiegne | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-05-05 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-04-12 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-16 | Chantilly | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish6th of 1667% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength75%
Delivery trend -1.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 6th of 16.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 28/11/2025 | 1st | 33/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |
| 27/12/2025 | 7th | 4/1 | 79% | 14% | -0.65 |
| 16/01/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 16/03/2026 | 12th | 25/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 12/04/2026 | 8th | 18/1 | 5% | 50% | +0.45 |
| 05/05/2026 | 5th | 20/1 | 0% | 69% | +0.69 |
| 09/06/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 27% | +0.00 |
| 01/08/2026 | 5th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 04/09/2026 | 1st | 15/8 | 90% | 100% | +0.10 |