12
Vapoa
3yo Filly · 9-4
Compiegne · Prix De Choisy Au Bac Handicap · 7f 209y
#16
Rank
Odds
80/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#16
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.8 /10 (raw 5.8)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C5.4
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-13 | Deauville | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-20 | Compiegne | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-05 | Compiegne | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-05-12 | Chantilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish16th of 160% of fieldRange 10-16 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -14.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 16th of 16. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/05/2026 | 5th | 28/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 05/06/2026 | 2nd | 12/1 | 37% | 89% | +0.52 |
| 20/06/2026 | 5th | 10/3 | 82% | 60% | -0.22 |
| 16/07/2026 | 7th | 13/2 | 66% | 40% | -0.26 |
| 13/08/2026 | 10th | 40/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |