13
Agnesit'a
3yo Filly · 8-7
Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y
#3
Rank
Odds
55/1
Win Prob
2%
Place Prob
9%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.5 /10 (raw 6.0)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-12 | Vichy | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-24 | Vichy | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-06-13 | Lyon-Parilly | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-05-22 | Marseille | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-03-04 | Marseille | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-02-16 | Marseille | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish7th of 1557% of fieldRange 4-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength18%
Delivery trend +2.9% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 7th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 04/01/2026 | 6th | 15/2 | 61% | 29% | -0.32 |
| 20/01/2026 | 7th | 25/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 11/02/2026 | 2nd | 5/1 | 74% | 88% | +0.14 |
| 16/02/2026 | 5th | 13/8 | 91% | 43% | -0.49 |
| 04/03/2026 | 8th | 11/1 | 42% | 13% | -0.30 |
| 22/05/2026 | 3rd | 33/1 | 0% | 78% | +0.78 |
| 13/06/2026 | 5th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 24/07/2026 | 12th | 14/1 | 26% | 8% | -0.18 |
| 12/08/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |