IvyArcIvyArc
1

Kaira

3yo Filly · 9-6

Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y

#10

Rank

Odds

10/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#10

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 7.7 /10 (raw 7.7)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Le Mans 21/04/2026 · Pos 6th of 14 · OR - · 7f209y Gd 12821/04C5C5 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 9th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y Std 11827/08C5C0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 8th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 13413/09C?projClass-projected finish: 7th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp?8th8th0
2026-08-27Deauville?9th9th0
2026-04-21Le Mans?6th6th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0427/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 1571% of fieldRange 1-1 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength100%

Delivery trend +14.3% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/04/20266th12/137%62%+0.25
27/08/20269th20/10%33%+0.33
13/09/20268th22/10%53%+0.53