11
Mangas
3yo Gelding · 8-9
Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y
#8
Rank
Odds
20/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#8
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength1%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 8.3 /10 (raw 8.4)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-07-06 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-05-01 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Mans | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish9th of 1543% of fieldRange 6-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength26%
Delivery trend +0.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 9th of 15.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 19/02/2026 | 9th | 66/1 | 0% | 11% | +0.11 |
| 20/03/2026 | 6th | 40/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |
| 01/05/2026 | 10th | 20/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 02/06/2026 | 13th | 20/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 06/07/2026 | 4th | 14/1 | 26% | 75% | +0.49 |
| 10/08/2026 | 9th | 7/1 | 63% | 33% | -0.30 |
| 13/09/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 53% | +0.53 |