5
Mexicana
3yo Filly · 8-13
Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y
#1
Rank
Odds
5/1
Win Prob
92%
Place Prob
65%
Rank
#1
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.8 /10 (raw 6.8)
Highest class: 3
Recent avg: C3.0
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-03 | Vichy | 3 | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-07-22 | Vichy | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-05-20 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish1st of 15100% of fieldRange 1-14 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▼
Strength68%
Delivery trend -5.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 1st of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 02/02/2026 | 2nd | 80/1 | 0% | 89% | +0.89 |
| 05/03/2026 | 12th | 22/1 | 0% | 15% | +0.15 |
| 11/04/2026 | 6th | 80/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 20/05/2026 | 8th | 16/1 | 16% | 53% | +0.38 |
| 02/06/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 60% | +0.13 |
| 22/07/2026 | 9th | 12/1 | 37% | 38% | +0.02 |
| 03/08/2026 | 7th | 17/2 | 55% | 14% | -0.41 |
| 20/08/2026 | 9th | 13/2 | 66% | 20% | -0.46 |
| 13/09/2026 | 1st | 40/1 | 0% | 100% | +1.00 |