12
Parisa
3yo Filly · 8-9
Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y
#15
Rank
Odds
30/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#15
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 9.5 /10 (raw 9.1)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 12th | 12th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-07-26 | Le Touquet | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-06-02 | Saint-Cloud | ? | 16th | 16th | 0 |
| 2026-03-23 | Chantilly | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish15th of 150% of fieldRange 8-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength18%
Delivery trend -3.1% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 15th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 12/02/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 54% | +0.54 |
| 23/03/2026 | 7th | 22/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 02/06/2026 | 16th | 18/1 | 5% | 0% | -0.05 |
| 16/07/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |
| 26/07/2026 | 6th | 10/1 | 47% | 55% | +0.07 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 22/1 | 0% | 36% | +0.36 |
| 13/09/2026 | 12th | 28/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |