14

Rage Chope

3yo Filly · 8-5

Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y

#7

Rank

Odds

40/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

1%

Rank

#7

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Lyon La Soie 21/01/2026 · Pos 6th of 10 · OR - · 1m2f151y Std 12321/01C5C5 @ Chantilly 12/02/2026 · Pos 10th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 127C5 @ Saint-Cloud 05/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 10 · OR - · 1m2f96y Sft 1175/03C5C5 @ Le Mans 20/03/2026 · Pos 5th of 10 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 120C5 @ Argentan 09/04/2026 · Pos 8th of 9 · OR - · 1m4f94y Sft 1249/04C5C0 @ Vittel 19/07/2026 · Pos 4th of 10 · OR - · 1m3f204y Gd 122C0 @ Clairefontaine 07/08/2026 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m2f205y GS 1317/08C?C0 @ Deauville 27/08/2026 · Pos 5th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f97y Std 128C0 @ ParisLongchamp 13/09/2026 · Pos 9th of 16 · OR - · 7f209y GS 12713/09C?projClass-projected finish: 5th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-09-13ParisLongchamp?9th9th0
2026-08-27Deauville?5th5th0
2026-08-07Clairefontaine?6th6th0
2026-07-19Vittel?4th4th0
2026-04-09Argentan?8th8th0
2026-03-20Le Mans?5th5th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today21/0120/037/0813/09
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 9-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength8%

Delivery trend +3.0% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
21/01/20266th7/491%44%-0.46
12/02/202610th16/116%10%-0.06
05/03/20263rd12/137%78%+0.41
20/03/20265th5/287%56%-0.31
09/04/20268th15/261%13%-0.48
19/07/20264th10/147%67%+0.19
07/08/20266th9/153%58%+0.06
27/08/20265th13/266%67%+0.01
13/09/20269th10/147%47%-0.01