14

Rage Chope
3yo Filly · 8-5
Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y
#7
Rank
Odds
40/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#7
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 6.2 /10 (raw 5.2)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 9th | 9th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Clairefontaine | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-19 | Vittel | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Argentan | ? | 8th | 8th | 0 |
| 2026-03-20 | Le Mans | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish12th of 1521% of fieldRange 9-15 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength8%
Delivery trend +3.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 12th of 15. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 21/01/2026 | 6th | 7/4 | 91% | 44% | -0.46 |
| 12/02/2026 | 10th | 16/1 | 16% | 10% | -0.06 |
| 05/03/2026 | 3rd | 12/1 | 37% | 78% | +0.41 |
| 20/03/2026 | 5th | 5/2 | 87% | 56% | -0.31 |
| 09/04/2026 | 8th | 15/2 | 61% | 13% | -0.48 |
| 19/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 67% | +0.19 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 9/1 | 53% | 58% | +0.06 |
| 27/08/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 67% | +0.01 |
| 13/09/2026 | 9th | 10/1 | 47% | 47% | -0.01 |