7
Steel Drum
3yo Gelding · 8-12
Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y
#5
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
1%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ RUNS TO MARKfinishes near its mark
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 7.3 /10 (raw 5.9)
Highest class: 2
Recent avg: C3.9
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-04 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-20 | Chantilly | ? | 10th | 10th | 0 |
| 2026-02-05 | Pornichet | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2025-09-12 | Salisbury | 4 | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2025-08-20 | Kempton | 4 | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2025-07-31 | Goodwood | 2 | 8th | 8th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish11th of 1529% of fieldRange 10-15 · 68%
▼ UNDER-DELIVERINGfinishes below its price
Trend▼
Strength0%
Delivery trend -7.9% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 11th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 24/05/2025 | 4th | 100/1 | 0% | 67% | +0.67 |
| 25/06/2025 | 2nd | 14/1 | 26% | 91% | +0.65 |
| 11/07/2025 | 3rd | 13/2 | 66% | 50% | -0.16 |
| 31/07/2025 | 8th | 14/1 | 26% | 30% | +0.04 |
| 20/08/2025 | 4th | 15/8 | 90% | 0% | -0.90 |
| 12/09/2025 | 5th | 4/1 | 79% | 20% | -0.59 |
| 05/02/2026 | 7th | 10/1 | 47% | 40% | -0.07 |
| 20/02/2026 | 10th | 80/1 | 0% | 10% | +0.10 |
| 04/09/2026 | 10th | 66/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |