8

Tact

3yo Gelding · 8-11

Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y

#12

Rank

Odds

25/1

Win Prob

0%

Place Prob

0%

Rank

#12

Class Advantage Projection

Class readAT LEVEL
NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move
Strength0%

What the class read says

Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.

Class-adjusted form 8.7 /10 (raw 8.4)

Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0

Handicap Mark vs Finish

FrontBackC5 @ Deauville 19/08/2025 · Pos 11th of 12 · OR - · 7f209y Sft 12819/08C5C5 @ Le Mans 12/09/2025 · Pos 6th of 13 · OR - · 1m1f152y GS 128C5 @ Pornichet 07/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 8 · OR - · 1m99y Std 1287/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 17/01/2026 · Pos 14th of 15 · OR - · 1m2f151y Hvy 128C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 26/01/2026 · Pos 7th of 14 · OR - · 1m2f151y Ver 12326/01C5C5 @ Cagnes-sur-Mer 09/02/2026 · Pos 12th of 14 · OR - · 1m1f207y Std 123C5 @ Fontainebleau 13/03/2026 · Pos 3rd of 16 · OR - · 1m208y Sft 12313/03C5C5 @ Chateaubriant 05/05/2026 · Pos 6th of 11 · OR - · 1m1f152y Sft 123C0 @ Clairefontaine 06/07/2026 · Pos 10th of 13 · OR - · 6f211y GS 1316/07C?projClass-projected finish: 9th of 15
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
DateCourseClsPosAdjGap
2026-07-06Clairefontaine?10th10th0
2026-05-05Chateaubriant?6th6th0
2026-03-13Fontainebleau?3rd3rd0
2026-02-09Cagnes-sur-Mer?12th12th0
2026-01-26Cagnes-sur-Mer?7th7th0
2026-01-17Cagnes-sur-Mer?14th14th0

Position-In-Market Trend

0255075100today19/0817/0113/036/07
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish13th of 1514% of fieldRange 5-15 · 68%
OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend
Strength33%

Delivery trend +0.5% per run

What the projection says

Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 13th of 15.

DatePosSPExpActΔ
19/08/202511th66/10%9%+0.09
12/09/20256th22/10%58%+0.58
07/01/20267th25/10%14%+0.14
17/01/202614th33/10%7%+0.07
26/01/20267th25/10%54%+0.54
09/02/202612th25/10%15%+0.15
13/03/20263rd25/10%87%+0.87
05/05/20266th18/15%50%+0.45
06/07/202610th12/137%25%-0.12