6
Tomoe Gozen
3yo Filly · 8-12
Compiegne · Prix De Vieux Moulin Handicap · 7f 209y
#4
Rank
Odds
9/1
Win Prob
1%
Place Prob
5%
Rank
#4
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▬ NO MARKno handicap runs to read
Move▬
Strength8%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade.
Class-adjusted form 5.7 /10 (raw 6.5)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C4.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Actual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-13 | ParisLongchamp | ? | 13th | 13th | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Deauville | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-20 | Deauville | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-10 | Clairefontaine | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-16 | Compiegne | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-01 | Nantes | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish4th of 1579% of fieldRange 1-12 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▼
Strength59%
Delivery trend -4.0% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 4th of 15. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 27/04/2026 | 7th | 28/1 | 0% | 45% | +0.45 |
| 27/05/2026 | 10th | 28/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 23/06/2026 | 9th | 20/1 | 0% | 27% | +0.27 |
| 01/07/2026 | 6th | 20/1 | 0% | 29% | +0.29 |
| 16/07/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 62% | +0.62 |
| 10/08/2026 | 4th | 18/1 | 5% | 75% | +0.70 |
| 20/08/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 27/08/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 77% | +0.24 |
| 13/09/2026 | 13th | 8/1 | 58% | 20% | -0.38 |