7
Cheese
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 79
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#3
Rank
Odds
4/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
4%
Rank
#3
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength21%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Ran mid-division in 1 of 1 higher-class runs.
Dropping 2 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.5 /10 (raw 4.3)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.3
Today:
Class gap: +0.2
Higher-class runs: 1
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-16 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 5th | +1 |
| 2026-08-21 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-07-08 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-06-19 | Laurel Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-05-30 | Laurel Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 886% of fieldRange 1-5 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▬
Strength81%
Delivery trend -1.2% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 2nd of 8.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 13/09/2025 | 4th | 20/1 | 0% | 57% | +0.57 |
| 19/04/2026 | 7th | 6/1 | 68% | 45% | -0.23 |
| 08/05/2026 | 7th | 14/1 | 26% | 25% | -0.01 |
| 30/05/2026 | 6th | 16/1 | 16% | 17% | +0.01 |
| 19/06/2026 | 3rd | 15/2 | 61% | 60% | -0.01 |
| 08/07/2026 | 1st | 6/1 | 68% | 100% | +0.32 |
| 07/08/2026 | 2nd | 10/3 | 82% | 80% | -0.02 |
| 21/08/2026 | 4th | 5/2 | 87% | 57% | -0.30 |
| 16/09/2026 | 6th | 33/1 | 0% | 38% | +0.38 |