Pippa's Noncents
3yo Filly · 8-7 · OR 74
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
8%
Place Prob
21%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 4 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 1 class level from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 3.1 /10 (raw 4.2)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-08-20 | Delaware Park | ? | 8th | 7th | +1 |
| 2026-07-22 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 1st | +1 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 0th | +1 |
| 2026-05-23 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 3rd | +1 |
| 2026-04-30 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 1st | 2nd | −1 |
| 2026-04-09 | Oaklawn Park | ? | 5th | 6th | −1 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -4.7% per run
What the projection says
Has been finishing below what its price implied — the odds have flattered it. Projected 3rd of 8. Recent form is easing off.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/01/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 55% | +0.28 |
| 21/02/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 73% | +0.25 |
| 19/03/2026 | 4th | 9/1 | 53% | 57% | +0.05 |
| 09/04/2026 | 5th | 5/1 | 74% | 60% | -0.14 |
| 30/04/2026 | 1st | 10/3 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 23/05/2026 | 4th | 11/8 | 93% | 25% | -0.68 |
| 10/07/2026 | 1st | 2/1 | 89% | 100% | +0.11 |
| 22/07/2026 | 2nd | 5/6 | 96% | 50% | -0.46 |
| 20/08/2026 | 8th | 20/1 | 0% | 22% | +0.22 |