3
Warriors Jewel
5yo Mare · 8-8 · OR 59
Delaware Park · Race 1 - Claiming · 1m
#6
Rank
Odds
15/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#6
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength0%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 4.2 /10 (raw 3.9)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 2nd | 2nd | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-29 | Delaware Park | ? | 6th | 6th | 0 |
| 2026-07-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish5th of 843% of fieldRange 2-8 · 68%
▲ OVER-DELIVERINGfinishes above its price
Trend▲
Strength43%
Delivery trend +3.6% per run
What the projection says
Consistently finishes ahead of what its market price implied — the model reads it well above the odds. Projected 5th of 8. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 22/01/2026 | 8th | 33/1 | 0% | 0% | 0.00 |
| 04/04/2026 | 8th | 40/1 | 0% | 13% | +0.13 |
| 27/05/2026 | 5th | 12/1 | 37% | 20% | -0.17 |
| 17/06/2026 | 5th | 14/1 | 26% | 33% | +0.07 |
| 09/07/2026 | 3rd | 7/1 | 63% | 50% | -0.13 |
| 29/07/2026 | 6th | 14/1 | 26% | 38% | +0.11 |
| 07/08/2026 | 6th | 13/2 | 66% | 0% | -0.66 |
| 27/08/2026 | 3rd | 40/1 | 0% | 71% | +0.71 |
| 10/09/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 80% | +0.33 |