Miss Serafina
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 73
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#5
Rank
Odds
8/1
Win Prob
0%
Place Prob
0%
Rank
#5
Class Advantage Projection
What the class read says
The stable looks to have run this horse in stronger races to keep its official rating low — today's class drop may be intentional. Worth watching at a price. A caution, though: it has NOT been beating its handicap mark — the favourable class picture isn't yet backed by mark-adjusted finishes.
Finished in the top 3 in 2 of 3 stronger races — strong class form.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.6 /10 (raw 3.5)
Handicap Mark vs Finish
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-11 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-08-13 | Colonial Downs | ? | 7th | 7th | 0 |
| 2026-06-15 | Presque Isle Downs | ? | 5th | 4th | +1 |
| 2026-05-19 | Mountaineer | ? | 3rd | 0th | +3 |
| 2026-04-27 | Mountaineer | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-04-09 | Mahoning Valley | ? | 2nd | -1th | +3 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Delivery trend -0.2% per run
What the projection says
Runs about to its market price — no systematic over- or under-performance. Projected 4th of 6.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 23/02/2026 | 2nd | 10/1 | 47% | 86% | +0.38 |
| 13/03/2026 | 2nd | 15/2 | 61% | 75% | +0.14 |
| 30/03/2026 | 4th | 11/4 | 86% | 40% | -0.46 |
| 09/04/2026 | 2nd | 4/1 | 79% | 75% | -0.04 |
| 27/04/2026 | 1st | 4/5 | 96% | 100% | +0.04 |
| 19/05/2026 | 3rd | 15/8 | 90% | 50% | -0.40 |
| 15/06/2026 | 5th | 25/1 | 0% | 20% | +0.20 |
| 13/08/2026 | 7th | 12/1 | 37% | 0% | -0.37 |
| 11/09/2026 | 4th | 25/1 | 0% | 50% | +0.50 |