4
Sister Carlie
4yo Filly · 8-10 · OR 76
Delaware Park · Race 2 - Claiming · 6f
#2
Rank
Odds
9/5
Win Prob
36%
Place Prob
37%
Rank
#2
Class Advantage Projection
Class readAT LEVEL
▼ OVER-MARKEDflattered by its mark
Move▬
Strength19%
What the class read says
Class levels are broadly matched — recent runs give an even picture at this grade. Its recent finishes fall short of what its mark implies — the rating may flatter it.
Dropping 3 class levels from its toughest race — well-positioned today.
Class-adjusted form 2.8 /10 (raw 4.7)
Highest class:
Recent avg: C7.5
Today:
Class gap: 0.0
Higher-class runs: 0
Handicap Mark vs Finish
Mark par — where its OR said it should finishActual finishProjected finish today — green strong → red weakDot colour = race gradeRing = higher class than today
| Date | Course | Cls | Pos | Adj | Gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-09-09 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-27 | Delaware Park | ? | 1st | 1st | 0 |
| 2026-08-07 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
| 2026-07-30 | Delaware Park | ? | 4th | 4th | 0 |
| 2026-07-10 | Delaware Park | ? | 5th | 5th | 0 |
| 2026-06-17 | Delaware Park | ? | 3rd | 3rd | 0 |
Position-In-Market Trend
Expected Actual Regression 68% CI
Projected finish2nd of 680% of fieldRange 1-2 · 68%
▲ EDGING AHEADslightly over its price
Trend▲
Strength100%
Delivery trend +4.9% per run
What the projection says
Edging in front of its market price lately. Projected 2nd of 6. Recent form is on the up.
| Date | Pos | SP | Exp | Act | Δ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 03/04/2026 | 7th | 9/2 | 76% | 33% | -0.43 |
| 24/04/2026 | 3rd | 5/1 | 74% | 67% | -0.07 |
| 16/05/2026 | 1st | 2/11 | 99% | 100% | +0.01 |
| 17/06/2026 | 3rd | 5/4 | 93% | 67% | -0.27 |
| 10/07/2026 | 5th | 13/2 | 66% | 43% | -0.23 |
| 30/07/2026 | 4th | 10/1 | 47% | 57% | +0.10 |
| 07/08/2026 | 3rd | 3/1 | 84% | 60% | -0.24 |
| 27/08/2026 | 1st | 7/2 | 82% | 100% | +0.18 |
| 09/09/2026 | 1st | 11/4 | 86% | 100% | +0.14 |